CA: EUwvqww7U1nsDAKQ748hooGSLCLgKuQMeVHS5VHjjZzZ
Kalshi Markets|PolyMarket Markets
Science and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes
33%
68%
No
Politics
Which of these Latin America leaders will leave office next?
Nicolás Maduro
4%
Nayib Bukele
3%
Elections
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
Yes
6%
94%
No
Politics
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
John Mahama
5%
Félix Tshisekedi
20%
Climate and Weather
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes
41%
59%
No
Climate and Weather
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes
49%
51%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
Steve Scalise
16%
Jim Jordan
16%
Science and Technology
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
33%
Russia
4%
Climate and Weather
US meets its climate goals?
By 2030
33%
By 2025
32%
Science and Technology
AI passes Turing test before 2030?
Yes
64%
36%
No
Climate and Weather
EV market share in 2030?
Above 50%
30%
Above 30%
67%
Politics
Non-compete ban overturned?
Yes
18%
83%
No
Economics
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Sergey Brin
1%
Steve Ballmer
1%
Science and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Yes
30%
70%
No
Sports
Portland Trailblazers bought and changed to Seattle SuperSonics?
Yes
50%
51%
No
Health
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
Yes
7%
94%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Wes Streeting
8%
Rachel Reeves
3%
Social
Will the NBA add a new team before 2030?
Yes
97%
3%
No
Economics
When will Elon Musk become a trillionaire?
Before 2030
44%
Before 2029
31%
Companies
Courts consider Live Nation a monopoly?
Yes
68%
32%
No
Companies
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
Troy Rohrbaugh
17%
Marianne Lake
36%
Economics
When will there be a half-trillionaire?
Before 2030
86%
Before 2029
78%
Entertainment
What will the price of GTA VI be on PS5?
More than $90
31%
More than $80
47%
Politics
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
Hungary
10%
Greece
10%
Politics
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Spain
5%
Poland
5%
Politics
Next government of Canada?
Liberal minority
97%
Liberal majority
2%
Entertainment
Who will be the next James Bond?
Richard Madden
7%
James Norton
7%
Science and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes
73%
28%
No
World
EU has a new member before 2030?
Yes
56%
44%
No
Politics
EU loses a member before 2030?
Yes
35%
66%
No
Economics
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Yes
27%
74%
No
Entertainment
What genre will Beyonce’s next album be?
Rock
60%
Rap
18%
Politics
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
Yes
50%
50%
No
Companies
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
Yes
59%
41%
No
Companies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Yes
17%
84%
No
Elections
Which party will win the next U.K. election?
The Bruv party
1%
The Reform party
37%
Politics
Will Trump balance the budget?
Yes
16%
85%
No
Politics
How much of government spending will Trump and Elon cut before Trump's term ends?
At least 750 billion
33%
At least 500 billion
39%
Politics
How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?
$50 trillion
37%
$45 trillion
53%
Economics
Will Trump halve the trade deficit?
Yes
27%
74%
No
Politics
Will Trump reduce the national debt?
Yes
97%
4%
No
Politics
Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency?
Republican Sweep
15%
R-House, R-Senate, D-President
9%
Economics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
Yes
63%
37%
No
Politics
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Yes
12%
89%
No
Politics
Will Trump resign before his term is up?
Yes
15%
86%
No
Politics
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Tom Cotton
1%
Patrick Wyrick
2%
Elections
Who will win the next presidential election?
Tim Walz
1%
Wes Moore
2%
Elections
Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Republican
48%
Democratic
52%
Politics
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
Yes
9%
92%
No
Politics
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Yes
29%
72%
No
Politics
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Yes
11%
89%
No
Politics
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
United Nations
17%
OECD
21%
Politics
Will Congress ever override Trump's veto?
Yes
20%
81%
No
Politics
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
Yes
24%
76%
No
Politics
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
Yes
22%
79%
No
Politics
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Yes
22%
79%
No
Politics
How many Attorneys General will Trump have?
5
15%
4
15%
Politics
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
Yes
5%
96%
No
Politics
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
Yes
39%
61%
No
Politics
What will be the 51st state?
Any part of Greenland
5%
Any part of Canada
7%
Politics
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
Yes
9%
91%
No
Politics
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Samuel Alito
68%
John Roberts
16%
Politics
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals
2%
8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals
2%
Politics
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
Yes
8%
93%
No
Politics
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Yes
40%
60%
No
Politics
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Yes
17%
83%
No
Politics
Will Congress pass a law that gets rid of the penny?
Yes
35%
65%
No
Politics
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
Robert O'Brien
15%
Ric Grenell
17%
Politics
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Wesley Hunt
3%
Trae Stephens
3%
Politics
How many Supreme Court justices will the next President confirm?
9
1%
8
1%
Politics
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
Yes
36%
65%
No
Politics
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
Yes
26%
74%
No
Politics
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
Yes
45%
55%
No
Politics
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?
Yes
48%
52%
No
Politics
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
Yes
31%
69%
No
Politics
Will President Trump be impeached again?
Yes
50%
51%
No
Politics
Will Trump expand the H1-B program?
Yes
43%
58%
No
Politics
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Yes
19%
82%
No
Politics
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?
Yes
56%
45%
No
Politics
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?
Yes
87%
14%
No
Politics
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
Yes
13%
88%
No
Politics
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Christopher Waller
29%
Ron Paul
2%
Politics
Will Trump end the electric vehicle tax credit?
Yes
77%
24%
No
Politics
Will Trump end the Department of Education?
Yes
35%
65%
No
Politics
Will Trump attend the White House correspondents dinner during his Presidency?
Yes
13%
87%
No
Politics
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
Yes
10%
90%
No
Elections
Will Trump impose capital controls?
Yes
27%
73%
No
Politics
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Yes
18%
83%
No
Politics
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Stephen Miran
2%
Russell T. Vought
2%
Politics
Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
Yes
17%
83%
No
Politics
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
IRS
12%
EPA
13%
Politics
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
Yes
25%
75%
No
Politics
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
Yes
40%
60%
No
Politics
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
Yes
56%
44%
No
Politics
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
Yes
19%
82%
No
Politics
Will Trump win his lawsuit against New York for its sanctuary cities laws?
Yes
41%
60%
No
Politics
Will Trump win his lawsuit against Illinois for its sanctuary cities laws?
Yes
26%
74%
No
Politics
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
Yes
21%
80%
No
Politics
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
Yes
7%
93%
No
Politics
Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Devas in Devas v. Antrix Corp.?
Yes
51%
50%
No
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